April 16, 2024
Annapolis, US 72 F

ELECTION 2018: And the winners were…along with our prediction score!

Well, the results are in and there were certainly a lot of surprises in the local Anne Arundel County races. Below are our predictions presented yesterday with the winners highlighted in bold.  When we added them all up, we figure we have about 75% correct. Not great, but not too shabby.  The shockers were Adams, Schuh, and Arnold!

We take out our crystal ball and offer some predictions on today’s races in Anne Arundel County. They are NOT endorsements, but simply reasonably reasoned guesses based on conversations with candidates, their supporters and detractors, and just the general conversation around the county.

We have a pretty good track record on these since 2009. Certainly not perfect, but more right than wrong!  We will recap these as the results come in and give ourselves a critique when all the dust settles.

We looked at the following races:

  • Governor — Larry Hogan and Ben Jealous
  • Comptroller — Anjali Phukan and Peter Franchot
  • Attorney General — Craig Wolf and Brian Frosh
  • US Senator — Tom Campbell and Ben Cardin
  • US Congress — Charles Anthony and John Sarbanes
  • State Senate District 30 — RonGeorge and Sarah Elfreth (We Were Wrong)
  • State Senate District 31 — Bryan Simonaire and Scott Harman
  • State Senate District 32 — John Grasso and Pam Beidle
  • State Senate District 33 — Ed Reilly and Eve Hurwitz
  • House of Delegates District 30A — Chelsea Gill, Bob O’Shea, Mike Busch, Alice Cain (We Were Wrong On 1)
  • House of Delegates District 30B — Seth Howard and Mike Shay
  • House of Delegates District 31A — Brooks Bennet and Ned Carey
  • House of Delegates District 31B — Brian Chisholm, Nic Kipke, Karen Simpson, and Harry Freeman
  • House of Delegates District 32 — Mark Bailey, Patty Ewing, Tim Walters, Sandy Bartlett, Mark Chang, and Mike Rogers (We Were Wrong On 1)
  • House of Delegates District 33 — Tony McConkey, Mike Malone, Sid Saab, Heather Bagnall, Tracie Hovermale, Pam Luby (We Were Wrong On 1)
  • School District 1 — Candace Antwine and David Starr
  • School District 4 — Melissa Ellis and Julie Hummer
  • School District 5 — Terry Gilleland and Dana Schallheim
  • School District 7 — Michelle Corkadel and Latecia Hicks (We  Were Wrong)
  • Orphans Court Judge — Nancy Phelps, Alan Rezpkowski, Maureen Carr-York, and Vickie Gipson (We Were Wrong On 1)
  • Register of Wills — Lauren Parker and Joe Janosky
  • Clerk of the Court — Doug Arnold and Scott Poyer (We Were Wrong, but this might change)
  • States Attorney — Wes Adams and Anne Colt Leitess  (We  Were Wrong)
  • Sheriff — Jim Fredericks and James Williams
  • County Council District 7– Jessica Haire and James Kitchin (We  Were Wrong)
  • County Council District 6 — Mike Christman and Lisa Rodvien
  • County Council District 5 — Amanda Fiedler and Dawn Myers
  • County Council District 4 — Torrey Snow and Andrew Pruski
  • County Council District 3 — Nathan Volke and Deb Ritchie
  • County Council District 2 — Tom Gardner and Allison Pickard
  • County Council District 1 — Kim Burns and Sarah Lacey
  • County Executive — Steve Schuh and Steuart Pittman   (We  Were Wrong)
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Daily News Brief | November 7, 2018 (Election Update)

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